Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Consumer Inflation Expectations climbed to 6.9% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased January 2025
Sweden Consumer Inflation Expectations climbed to 6.9% in January 2025, up 0.1% from December's 6.8% reading. The reading matched the 6.8% consensus. Consumer Inflation Expectations has now risen for 5 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Inflation Expectations averaged 6.55%, vs 5.87% in the prior 3-month window. Consumer Inflation Expectations is now the highest in 11 months.
Latest Release
6.9
Actual
6.8
Consensus
6.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.26 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jan 2025
Predicted: 6.98
Actual: 6.9
Error: +0.07
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/SEK | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish SEK | → View |
| USD/SEK | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bullish SEK | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Inflation Expectations (Sweden) was reported at 6.9% in January 2025. This beat the market consensus of 6.8% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 6.8%.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 6.67%, up from the prior three at 5.87%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/SEK (Bullish SEK). A secondary relationship exists with USD/SEK, negatively correlated (Bullish SEK). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.26%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2025.
SHARE
Consumer Inflation Expectations - SE
Loading chart data...
About Consumer Inflation Expectations — Sweden
DEFINITION
Consumer Inflation Expectations is a financial indicator that measures the anticipated rate of inflation among consumers. It reflects the level of confidence and expectations that consumers have regarding the future increase in prices of goods and services. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers as it can provide insights into consumer spending behavior and potential changes in the overall economy. A higher level of consumer inflation expectations may indicate a potential rise in inflation, while a lower level may suggest a more stable or even declining inflation rate.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2025): actual 6.9 %, consensus 6.8 %. Prior reading (Dec 2024): 6.8 %. Before that (Nov 2024): 6.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/SEK (Bullish SEK, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.