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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden CPI MoM fell to 0.4% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Sweden CPI MoM fell to 0.4% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.6% from May's 1.0% reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.14%. Over the past 3 months, CPI MoM averaged 0.04%, vs -0.6% in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
0.4
Actual
0.4
Consensus
1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.06 percentage points
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 0.45
Actual: 0.4
Error: +0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.83 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.81 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.77 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.77 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.61 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI MoM (Sweden) was reported at 0.4% in July 2026. This matched the market consensus of 0.4% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, negatively correlated (Bearish Euro STOXX 50).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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CPI MoM - SE
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About CPI MoM — Sweden
DEFINITION
Sweden's CPI MoM for June rose 0.400000%, matching estimates but down from May's 1.000000%. This slowdown signals easing inflationary pressures after a sharp increase in May. Market focus remains on upcoming Riksbank policy decisions amid moderating price growth. Updated 7/15/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 0.4 %, consensus 0.4 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 1 %. Before that (May 2026): 1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100, r=-0.83) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Wednesday, July 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPI MoM | 0.4 | 1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Medium |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF MoM | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF YoY | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPI YoY | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium |