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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SpainSpain 10-Year Obligacion Auction climbed to 3.74% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Spain 10-Year Obligacion Auction climbed to 3.74% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.19% from July's 3.54% reading.
Latest Release
3.736000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.542000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
10-Year Obligacion Auction (Spain) was reported at 3.74% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.54%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.39%, ranging from 3.09% to 3.81% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.56%, up from the prior three at 3.56%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.23%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.24%). In September readings over the past 3 years, 10-Year Obligacion Auction has averaged 3.34%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Sep 29) and Inflation Rate YoY (Sep 29).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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10-Year Obligacion Auction - ES
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About 10-Year Obligacion Auction — Spain
DEFINITION
The 10-Year Obligacion Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for 10-year government bonds. This auction allows governments to borrow money from investors by selling these bonds, which have a fixed interest rate and maturity date of 10 years. The results of the auction provide insight into the current market sentiment and the government's ability to raise funds. It is an important tool for investors and policymakers to assess the overall health of the economy and make informed financial decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 3.736 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 3.542 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 3.395 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - ES Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | ES | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.65 | Low |
| 07:00 | ES | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 4.6 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 4.55 | Low |
| 07:00 | ES | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 07:00 | ES | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 3 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low |
| 07:00 | ES | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.3 | 3.6 | 4.3 | 4.30 | Low |