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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SpainSpain 10-Year Index-Linked Obligacion Auction climbed to 1.96% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Spain 10-Year Index-Linked Obligacion Auction climbed to 1.96% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.53% from August's 1.43% reading.
Latest Release
1.960000
Actual
—
Consensus
1.425000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
10-Year Index-Linked Obligacion Auction (Spain) was reported at 1.96% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.43%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish EU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Consumer Confidence (Oct 26) and Unemployment Rate (Oct 27).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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10-Year Index-Linked Obligacion Auction - ES
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About 10-Year Index-Linked Obligacion Auction — Spain
DEFINITION
The 10-Year Index-Linked Obligacion Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and pricing for government-issued bonds with a maturity of 10 years. These bonds are linked to an inflation index, providing investors with protection against rising prices. The auction process allows the government to raise funds by selling these bonds to investors, while also providing a benchmark for market interest rates. This indicator is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it reflects the overall sentiment towards the economy and inflation expectations.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 1.96 %. Prior reading (Jul 2024): 1.212 %. Before that (May 2024): 1.042 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - ES Events
| Monday, October 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | ES | Producer Price Index YoY | 13.2 | 15.3 | 13.75 | Low | |
| 08:00 | ES | Producer Price Index YoY | 13.2 | 15.3 | 13.75 | Low | |