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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SpainSpain 50-Year Obligacion Auction climbed to 4.02% in December 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased January 2026
Spain 50-Year Obligacion Auction climbed to 4.02% in December 2025, released January 2026, up 0.15% from November's 3.87% reading.
Latest Release
4.024000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.874000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Bullish EU | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
50-Year Obligacion Auction (Spain) was reported at 4.02% in January 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.87%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through January 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish EU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Jun 23) and Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Jun 25).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2026.
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50-Year Obligacion Auction - ES
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About 50-Year Obligacion Auction — Spain
DEFINITION
The 50-Year Obligacion Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest for long-term government bonds with a maturity of 50 years. This auction allows governments to raise funds for large-scale projects and investors to secure a stable, long-term investment opportunity. The results of this auction can provide insights into the overall economic outlook and investor confidence in the government's ability to meet its long-term financial obligations.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 4.024 %. Prior reading (Jul 2023): 3.874 %. Before that (May 2022): 2.851 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.