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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SpainSpain 30-Year Obligacion Auction fell to 4.04% in October 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased November 2025
Spain 30-Year Obligacion Auction fell to 4.04% in October 2025, released November 2025, down 0.04% from September's 4.07% reading.
Latest Release
4.038000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.074000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Bullish EU | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
30-Year Obligacion Auction (Spain) was reported at 4.04% in November 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.07%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through November 2025.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.03%, up from the prior three at 3.81%. In November readings over the past 3 years, 30-Year Obligacion Auction has averaged 4.13%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish EU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Jun 23) and Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Jun 25).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update November 2025.
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30-Year Obligacion Auction - ES
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About 30-Year Obligacion Auction — Spain
DEFINITION
The 30-Year Obligacion Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest rates for long-term government bonds. This auction is conducted by the government to raise funds for various projects and initiatives, and the results can provide valuable insights into the overall economic climate and investor sentiment. The successful sale of these bonds can indicate confidence in the government's financial stability, while high interest rates may suggest potential inflation concerns. As a long-term indicator, the 30-Year Obligacion Auction can provide valuable information for investors and policymakers alike.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Nov 2025): actual 4.038 %. Prior reading (Sep 2025): 4.074 %. Before that (May 2025): 3.974 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.