Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland Irish Exchequer Returns climbed to 2.4B in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Ireland Irish Exchequer Returns climbed to 2.4B in September 2026, released October 2026, up 4.2B from August's -1.8B reading.
Latest Release
2.400000
Actual
—
Consensus
-1.800000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.64 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Irish Exchequer Returns (Ireland) was reported at 2.40 billion in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -1.80 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.40 billion, ranging from -2.30 billion to 10.40 billion across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.00 billion, up from the prior three at -1.33 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.21 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.85 billion).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 4, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Irish Exchequer Returns - IE
Loading chart data...
About Irish Exchequer Returns — Ireland
DEFINITION
Ireland's Irish Exchequer Returns posted an actual surplus of 2.400000 billion EUR in September, reversing from August's deficit of -1.800000 billion EUR. This sharp turnaround marks a significant fiscal improvement month-over-month. Market focus now shifts to upcoming budgetary reports and central bank commentary. Updated 10/2/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 2.4 B. Prior reading (Aug 2026): -1.8 B. Before that (Jul 2026): -0.6 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.64) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - IE Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:01 | IE | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.5 | 55 | 55.00 | Low | |
| 23:01 | IE | Consumer Confidence | 61.1 | 60 | 60.00 | Low | |
| Tuesday, November 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | IE | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.90 | Low | |
| 11:00 | IE | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:01 | IE | S&P Global Services PMI | 54.1 | 53.4 | 53.75 | Low | |
| 11:00 | IE | Unemployment Rate | 5 | 5.1 | 5.10 | Low | |