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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland Irish Exchequer Returns climbed to -2.3B in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Ireland Irish Exchequer Returns climbed to -2.3B in May 2026, released June 2026, up 2.4B from April's -4.7B reading.
Latest Release
-2.300000
Actual
—
Consensus
-4.700000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.64 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Irish Exchequer Returns (Ireland) was reported at -2.30 billion in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -4.70 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.37 billion, ranging from -2.30 billion to 10.40 billion across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -1.33 billion, down from the prior three at 5.53 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 3, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Irish Exchequer Returns - IE
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About Irish Exchequer Returns — Ireland
DEFINITION
Ireland's Irish Exchequer Returns for May posted an actual deficit of -2.300000 billion EUR, improving from April's -4.700000 billion EUR. The narrower shortfall signals a reduction in fiscal pressure compared to the previous month. Market focus will remain on upcoming fiscal data and central bank commentary for further clarity. Updated 6/4/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual -2.3 B. Prior reading (May 2026): -2.3 B. Before that (Apr 2026): -4.7 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.64) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.