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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland Residential Property Prices YoY fell to 5.1% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Ireland Residential Property Prices YoY fell to 5.1% in August 2026, released October 2026, down 0.3% from July's 5.4% reading. The reading matched the 5.2% consensus. Residential Property Prices YoY has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Residential Property Prices YoY averaged 5.55%, vs 6.3% in the prior 3-month window. Residential Property Prices YoY is now the lowest in 31 months.
Latest Release
5.1
Actual
5.2
Consensus
5.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.19 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 5.27
Actual: 5.1
Error: +0.17
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.83 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.69 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.61 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Residential Property Prices YoY (Ireland) was reported at 5.1% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 5.2% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 5.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 6.4%, ranging from 5.1% to 7.6% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 5.4%, down from the prior three at 6.3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.79%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.98%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Residential Property Prices YoY has averaged 5.88%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.19%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Residential Property Prices YoY - IE
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About Residential Property Prices YoY — Ireland
DEFINITION
Residential Property Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the average prices of residential properties. It provides valuable insights into the overall health and trends of the housing market, allowing investors and policymakers to make informed decisions. This indicator is widely used to track the performance of the real estate sector and its impact on the economy. A positive YoY growth indicates a strong and growing housing market, while a negative growth may signal a slowdown or decline in the market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 5.1 %, consensus 5.2 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 5.5 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 5.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish USD, r=0.83) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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