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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland Residential Property Prices YoY fell to 5.5% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Ireland Residential Property Prices YoY fell to 5.5% in July 2026, released September 2026, down 0.1% from June's 5.6% reading. The reading matched the 5.4% consensus. Residential Property Prices YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Residential Property Prices YoY averaged 5.9%, vs 6.5% in the prior 3-month window. Residential Property Prices YoY is now the lowest in 29 months.
Latest Release
5.5
Actual
5.4
Consensus
5.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.23 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 5.78
Actual: 5.6
Error: +0.18
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.70 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.64 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Residential Property Prices YoY (Ireland) was reported at 5.5% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 5.4% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 5.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 6.83%, ranging from 5.6% to 7.6% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 6%, down from the prior three at 6.83%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.64%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.96%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Residential Property Prices YoY has averaged 7.33%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.23%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 14, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Residential Property Prices YoY - IE
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About Residential Property Prices YoY — Ireland
DEFINITION
Residential Property Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the average prices of residential properties. It provides valuable insights into the overall health and trends of the housing market, allowing investors and policymakers to make informed decisions. This indicator is widely used to track the performance of the real estate sector and its impact on the economy. A positive YoY growth indicates a strong and growing housing market, while a negative growth may signal a slowdown or decline in the market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 5.5 %, consensus 5.4 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 5.6 %. Before that (May 2026): 6.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish USD, r=0.70) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - IE Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | IE | Residential Property Prices YoY | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 5.45 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | Residential Property Prices MoM | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.70 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | Balance of Trade | 5.3 | 3.8 | 6.4 | 5.85 | Low |