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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland Residential Property Prices YoY held to 6.2% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Ireland Residential Property Prices YoY held to 6.2% in May 2026, released July 2026. The print exceeded the 5.8% consensus by 0.4%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 7.21%. Over the past 3 months, Residential Property Prices YoY averaged 6.35%, vs 6.93% in the prior 3-month window. Residential Property Prices YoY is now the lowest in 26 months.
Latest Release
6.2
Actual
5.8
Consensus
6.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.25 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 5.75
Actual: 6.2
Error: -0.45
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Residential Property Prices YoY (Ireland) was reported at 6.2% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 5.8% by 0.4%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 7.05%, ranging from 6.2% to 7.8% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 6.3%, down from the prior three at 7.1%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.55%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.93%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Residential Property Prices YoY has averaged 7.43%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.25%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 19, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Residential Property Prices YoY - IE
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About Residential Property Prices YoY — Ireland
DEFINITION
Residential Property Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the average prices of residential properties. It provides valuable insights into the overall health and trends of the housing market, allowing investors and policymakers to make informed decisions. This indicator is widely used to track the performance of the real estate sector and its impact on the economy. A positive YoY growth indicates a strong and growing housing market, while a negative growth may signal a slowdown or decline in the market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 6.2 %, consensus 5.8 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 6.2 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 6.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IE Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | IE | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.25 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.20 | Low |