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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
New ZealandNew Zealand 1-Year Bill Auction climbed to 3.39% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
New Zealand 1-Year Bill Auction climbed to 3.39% in July 2026, up 0.02% from June's 3.37% reading.
Latest Release
3.390000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.370500
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| NZD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
1-Year Bill Auction (New Zealand) was reported at 3.39% in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.37%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.78%, ranging from 2.39% to 3.39% across 37 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.35%, up from the prior three at 3.01%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.28%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.45%). In July readings over the past 3 years, 1-Year Bill Auction has averaged 3.49%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with NZD/USD, positively correlated (Bullish NZD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 4, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Employment Change QoQ (Aug 4) and Unemployment Rate (Aug 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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1-Year Bill Auction - NZ
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About 1-Year Bill Auction — New Zealand
DEFINITION
The 1-Year Bill Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for short-term government debt securities. It involves the auctioning of 1-year Treasury bills, which are considered low-risk investments and are used by the government to raise funds. The results of the auction, such as the interest rate and the amount of bids received, provide insight into the current state of the economy and investor sentiment. This indicator is closely monitored by financial analysts and investors as it can impact interest rates and overall market conditions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 3.39 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 3.371 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 3.288 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - NZ Events
| Sunday, August 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:45 | NZ | Building Permits MoM | -4 | -2.3 | -2.30 | Low | |