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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
New ZealandNew Zealand ANZ Commodity Price Index MoM climbed to 0.6% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
New Zealand ANZ Commodity Price Index MoM climbed to 0.6% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.0% from August's -0.4% reading.
Latest Release
0.600000
Actual
—
Consensus
-0.400000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
ANZ Commodity Price Index MoM (New Zealand) was reported at 0.6% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.09%, ranging from -3.9% to 4.2% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -1.23%, down from the prior three at 2.3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.23%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.53%).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 4, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Employment Change QoQ (Nov 3) and Unemployment Rate (Nov 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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ANZ Commodity Price Index MoM - NZ
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About ANZ Commodity Price Index MoM — New Zealand
DEFINITION
New Zealand's ANZ Commodity Price Index MoM rose 0.60% in September, reversing August's 0.40% decline. This marks a shift from contraction to modest expansion in commodity prices month-over-month. Market focus now turns to upcoming inflation data and central bank signals amid this price rebound. Updated 10/5/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 0.6 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): -0.4 %. Before that (Aug 2026): -3.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - NZ Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | NZ | ANZ Business Confidence | 52.5 | 51.9 | 51.5 | 52.00 | Medium |
| 21:00 | NZ | ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence | 96.2 | 97.6 | 97.4 | 96.80 | Low |