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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
New ZealandNew Zealand Visitor Arrivals MoM climbed to 2.8% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
New Zealand Visitor Arrivals MoM climbed to 2.8% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 2.1% from August's 0.7% reading.
Latest Release
2.800000
Actual
—
Consensus
0.700000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| NZD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Visitor Arrivals MoM (New Zealand) was reported at 2.8% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.62%, ranging from -3% to 2.9% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.07%, up from the prior three at -1.03%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.92%) is lower than the prior year (σ 2.55%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with NZD/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish NZD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Employment Change QoQ (Nov 3) and Unemployment Rate (Nov 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Visitor Arrivals MoM - NZ
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About Visitor Arrivals MoM — New Zealand
DEFINITION
Visitor Arrivals MoM is a financial indicator that measures the month-over-month change in the number of visitors to a particular location. This indicator is commonly used in the tourism industry to track the growth or decline of visitor arrivals and can provide valuable insights into the overall health of the tourism sector. It is also used by businesses and governments to make informed decisions regarding marketing strategies, resource allocation, and economic policies. A positive change in Visitor Arrivals MoM indicates an increase in tourism activity, while a negative change may suggest a decline in visitor numbers.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 2.8 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 0.5 %. Before that (Aug 2026): -0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.50) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - NZ Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | NZ | ANZ Business Confidence | 52.5 | 51.9 | 51.5 | 52.00 | Medium |
| 21:00 | NZ | ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence | 96.2 | 97.6 | 97.4 | 96.80 | Low |