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Turkey Consumer Confidence climbed to 87.9% in June 2026, up 2.1% from May's 85.8% reading. The reading matched the 86.0% consensus. Consumer Confidence has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 85.65%, vs 85.35% in the prior 3-month window. Consumer Confidence is now the highest in 32 months.
across last 12 releases
May 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| USD/TRY | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Consumer Confidence (Turkey) was reported at 87.9% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 86% by 1.9%. The reading rose from the previous value of 85.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 84.48%, ranging from 83.5% to 85.8% across 9 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
The trailing three releases averaged 85.5%, up from the prior three at 84.03%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.87%) is lower than the prior year (σ 3.17%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 83.7%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.97%.
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Jun 30) and Unemployment Rate (Jun 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 87.9 %, consensus 86 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 85.8 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 85.5 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.60) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Monday, June 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | Consumer Confidence | 87.9 | 85.8 | 86 | 86.97 | Medium | |
| 08:00 | Tourist Arrivals YoY | -3.58 | -9.44 | -2 | -3.67 | Low | |
| 14:30 | Central Government Debt | 14.989 | 14.765 | 15.104 | 15.00 | Low | |