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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Exports climbed to 176.2K in March 2024
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2024
Sweden Exports climbed to 176.2K in March 2024, released April 2024, up 4.4K from February's 171.8K reading. The reading missed the 192.4K consensus by 16.2K. Exports has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Exports averaged 169.8K, vs 182.17K in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 58th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
176.2
Actual
192.4
Consensus
171.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±15.9 thousand
across last 6 releases
Last Call
Apr 2024
Predicted: 194.8
Actual: 176.2
Error: +18.6
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/SEK | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/SEK | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports (Sweden) was reported at 176 thousand in April 2024. This missed the market consensus of 192 thousand by 16 thousand. The reading rose from the previous value of 172 thousand.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 172 thousand, down from the prior three at 182 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/SEK (Bullish SEK). A secondary relationship exists with USD/SEK, negatively correlated (Bullish SEK). Over the last 6 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 16 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CPI YoY (Aug 6) and CPI MoM (Aug 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update April 2024.
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Exports - SE
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About Exports — Sweden
DEFINITION
Exports refer to the goods and services that a country produces and sells to other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the strength of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A high level of exports can indicate a healthy economy and a competitive market, while a decrease in exports may signal a decline in economic activity. This information is important for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions about trade and economic policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Mar 2024): actual 176.2 K, consensus 192.4 K. Prior reading (Feb 2024): 171.8 K. Before that (Jan 2024): 167.8 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/SEK (Bullish SEK, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | SE | Retail Sales YoY | 6.6 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 5.85 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | Retail Sales MoM | 1 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.70 | Low |
| 07:00 | SE | Economic Tendency Indicator | 104.7 | 102.1 | 101.1 | 102.90 | Low |
| 07:00 | SE | Consumer Confidence | 97.1 | 94.2 | 93 | 95.05 | Low |
| 07:00 | SE | Business Confidence | 106.3 | 104.1 | 103 | 104.65 | Low |
| 07:00 | SE | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 5.7 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 5.55 | Low |