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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia Trade (% of GDP) climbed to 43.39 Percent in December 2025
World BankYearlyReleased December 2025
Indonesia Trade (% of GDP) climbed to 43.39 Percent in December 2025, up 0.58 Percent from November's 42.81 Percent reading.
Latest Release
43.391207
Actual
—
Consensus
42.809938
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Trade (% of GDP) (Indonesia) was reported at 43.39 Percent in December 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 42.81 Percent. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 42.55 Percent, up from the prior three at 39.55 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, Trade (% of GDP) has averaged 42.55 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Aug 3) and Inflation Rate YoY (Aug 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Trade (% of GDP) - ID
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About Trade (% of GDP) — Indonesia
DEFINITION
Indonesia's Trade (% of GDP) rose to 43.391207% in December 2025, up from 42.809938% in December 2024, marking a continued expansion in trade activity. This increase reflects a strengthening trade sector compared to the previous year. Market participants will watch upcoming economic data for further insights into Indonesia's trade dynamics. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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