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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndiaIndia CPI YoY climbed to 3.93% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
India CPI YoY climbed to 3.93% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.45% from April's 3.48% reading. The reading matched expectations. CPI YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months.
Latest Release
3.93
Actual
4
Consensus
3.48
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI YoY (India) was reported at 3.93% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 4% by 0.07%. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.48%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MPC Meeting Minutes (Jun 19) and Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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CPI YoY - IN
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About CPI YoY — India
DEFINITION
India's CPI YoY for June rose sharply to 4.780%, surpassing the 4.000% estimate and up from May's 3.480%. This acceleration signals a notable inflation pickup after two months of moderate increases. Market focus will remain on RBI's policy response amid rising price pressures. Updated 6/12/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 4.78 %, consensus 4 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 3.48 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 3.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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