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Data from Emerging Markets composite. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndiaIndia India CPI Inflation fell to 0.73 Percent in August 2026
Emerging Markets compositeMonthlyReleased September 2026
India India CPI Inflation fell to 0.73 Percent in August 2026, released September 2026, down 0.15 Percent from July's 0.88 Percent reading.
Latest Release
0.730000
Actual
—
Consensus
0.880000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
India CPI Inflation (India) was reported at 0.73 Percent in August 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.88 Percent. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.51 Percent, ranging from 0.05 Percent to 4.45 Percent across 12 releases. This is classified as a critical-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.19 Percent, up from the prior three at 1.44 Percent. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.65 Percent) is lower than the prior year (σ 2.07 Percent). In September readings over the past 3 years, India CPI Inflation has averaged 1.63 Percent.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Sep 23) and HSBC Services PMI (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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India CPI Inflation - IN
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About India CPI Inflation — India
DEFINITION
India CPI Inflation for August registered at 0.730000 percent, down from July's 0.880000 percent, indicating a deceleration in price growth. August's reading shows a continued easing trend following the peak inflation levels seen earlier in the year. Market participants will monitor upcoming data for further clarity on inflation dynamics amid the central bank's current policy stance. Updated 9/16/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Releases in this category are tier-1 market events that frequently produce same-session cross-asset repricing. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 0.73 Percent. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 4.45 Percent. Before that (Jul 2026): 4.38 Percent.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IN Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:45 | IN | Balance of Trade | -26.86 | -31.98 | -33 | -34.17 | Medium |
| 09:00 | IN | Balance of Trade | -43.81 | -31.98 | -33 | -34.17 | Medium |
| 10:30 | IN | Unemployment Rate | 5 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.10 | Low |