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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland CPI MoM climbed to 0.8% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Poland CPI MoM climbed to 0.8% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 1.3% from June's -0.5% reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.23%. Over the past 3 months, CPI MoM averaged -0.16%, vs 0.73% in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
0.8
Actual
0.8
Consensus
-0.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.03 percentage points
across last 6 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 0.77
Actual: 0.8
Error: -0.03
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.53 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| USD/PLN | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI MoM (Poland) was reported at 0.4% in August 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.13%, ranging from -0.5% to 0.8% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.67%, up from the prior three at -0.43%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with USD/PLN, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 6 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.03%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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CPI MoM - PL
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About CPI MoM — Poland
DEFINITION
Poland's CPI MoM for August came in at 0.400000%, down from July's 0.800000%, indicating a deceleration in monthly inflation. August's reading shows a slower pace of price increases compared to the prior month. Market participants will watch upcoming data for further inflation trends amid current monetary policy. Updated 8/31/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 0.4 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 0.8 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 0.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.53) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - PL Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | PL | Balance of Trade | -1843 | -1469 | -1200 | -1521.50 | Low |
| 12:00 | PL | Current Account | -2419 | -2216 | -2341 | -2380.00 | Low |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low |
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.35 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | PL | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.20 | Low | |