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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland CPI MoM fell to -0.5% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Poland CPI MoM fell to -0.5% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.2% from May's -0.3% reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.26%.
Latest Release
-0.5
Actual
-0.5
Consensus
-0.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.03 percentage points
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -0.55
Actual: -0.5
Error: -0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI MoM (Poland) was reported at -0.5% in July 2026. This matched the market consensus of -0.5% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of -0.3%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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CPI MoM - PL
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About CPI MoM — Poland
DEFINITION
Poland's June CPI MoM declined by -0.50%, matching estimates and deepening the contraction from May's -0.30%. This marks a continued deflationary trend as consumer prices fell more sharply month-over-month. Market focus remains on the central bank's response amid persistent price declines and upcoming inflation data. Updated 7/15/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -0.5 %, consensus -0.5 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -0.5 %. Before that (May 2026): -0.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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