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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland GDP Deflator (Annual %) fell to 2.91 Percent in December 2025
World BankYearlyReleased December 2025
Poland GDP Deflator (Annual %) fell to 2.91 Percent in December 2025, down 0.92 Percent from November's 3.83 Percent reading.
Latest Release
2.908354
Actual
—
Consensus
3.828948
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Deflator (Annual %) (Poland) was reported at 2.91 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.83 Percent. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. In December readings over the past 3 years, GDP Deflator (Annual %) has averaged 5.53 Percent.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Jul 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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GDP Deflator (Annual %) - PL
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About GDP Deflator (Annual %) — Poland
DEFINITION
Poland's GDP Deflator (Annual %) for December 2025 came in at 2.908354%, down from November 2024's 3.828948%, indicating a continued deceleration in inflationary pressures. This decline reflects a moderation in price growth compared to the previous year. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation data closely as the central bank maintains its cautious stance. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection.
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Economic Calendar - PL Events
| Tuesday, July 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | PL | Current Account | -1558 | -450 | -450.00 | Low | |
| Wednesday, July 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | |
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.20 | Low | |