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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland New Car Sales MoM climbed to 22.8% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Poland New Car Sales MoM climbed to 22.8% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 41.1% from August's -18.3% reading.
Latest Release
22.800000
Actual
—
Consensus
-18.300000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
New Car Sales MoM (Poland) was reported at 22.8% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -18.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Nov 4) and GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Nov 13).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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New Car Sales MoM - PL
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About New Car Sales MoM — Poland
DEFINITION
Poland's New Car Sales MoM surged to an actual value of 22.8% in September, marking a significant rebound from August's -18.3%. This sharp increase indicates a strong recovery in the automotive sector, moving from contraction to expansion. Market participants will closely watch upcoming economic indicators to assess the sustainability of this growth trend. Updated 10/22/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 22.8 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): -18.3 %. Before that (May 2026): -4.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - PL Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | PL | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49 | 48.5 | 49.25 | Low | |
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | PL | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | Medium | |