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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland Trade (% of GDP) fell to 97.03 Percent in December 2025
World BankYearlyReleased December 2025
Poland Trade (% of GDP) fell to 97.03 Percent in December 2025, down 3.33 Percent from November's 100.36 Percent reading.
Latest Release
97.030182
Actual
—
Consensus
100.359443
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Trade (% of GDP) (Poland) was reported at 97.03 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 100.36 Percent. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 102.47 Percent, down from the prior three at 111.05 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, Trade (% of GDP) has averaged 102.47 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Trade (% of GDP) - PL
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About Trade (% of GDP) — Poland
DEFINITION
Poland's Trade (% of GDP) for 2025 registered at 97.030182%, down from 100.359443% in 2024, indicating a contraction in trade activity as a share of GDP. The decline from 2024 to 2025 reflects a reduced trade intensity in the economy. Market participants will monitor upcoming economic data for further insights into Poland’s trade dynamics. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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