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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland Government Expense (% of GDP) held to 39.1 Percent in December 2023
World BankYearlyReleased December 2023
Poland Government Expense (% of GDP) held to 39.1 Percent in December 2023.
Latest Release
39.098239
Actual
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Consensus
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Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Government Expense (% of GDP) (Poland) was reported at 39.10 Percent in December 2023. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 37.39 Percent, up from the prior three at 35.80 Percent.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (May 26) and Inflation Rate YoY (May 29).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2023.
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Government Expense (% of GDP) - PL
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About Government Expense (% of GDP) — Poland
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - PL Events
| Monday, May 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | PL | Retail Sales YoY | 8.7 | 3 | 2.80 | Low | |
| 12:00 | PL | M3 Money Supply YoY | 11.5 | 11.2 | 11.02 | Low | |
| Tuesday, May 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:30 | PL | Unemployment Rate | 6.1 | 6 | 6.00 | Medium | |