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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland CPI YoY climbed to 3.0% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Poland CPI YoY climbed to 3.0% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.5% from June's 2.5% reading. The reading matched expectations. Over the past 3 months, CPI YoY averaged 2.9%, vs 2.92% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 46th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3
Actual
3
Consensus
2.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.01 percentage points
across last 9 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 2.99
Actual: 3
Error: -0.01
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI YoY (Poland) was reported at 3.4% in August 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.95%, ranging from 2.5% to 3.4% across 12 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.13%, up from the prior three at 2.7%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). Over the last 9 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.01%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Sep 23) and Inflation Rate YoY (Sep 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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CPI YoY - PL
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About CPI YoY — Poland
DEFINITION
Poland's CPI YoY rose to 3.40% in August, up from July's 3.00%, marking a clear acceleration in inflation. This increase signals a pickup in price pressures after a period of relative stability around 3.0%. Market participants will watch for central bank responses amid this upward trend. Updated 8/31/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 3.4 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 3 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - PL Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low |
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.35 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | PL | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.25 | Low |
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:30 | PL | Consumer Confidence | -11.3 | -12 | -11.40 | Low | |