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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland CPI YoY climbed to 3.0% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Poland CPI YoY climbed to 3.0% in July 2026, up 0.5% from June's 2.5% reading. The reading matched expectations. Over the past 3 months, CPI YoY averaged 2.93%, vs 2.85% in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
3
Actual
3
Consensus
2.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.01 percentage points
across last 8 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 2.99
Actual: 3
Error: -0.01
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI YoY (Poland) was reported at 3% in July 2026. This matched the market consensus of 3% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.9%, ranging from 2.5% to 3.2% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.67%, down from the prior three at 3.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, positively correlated (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 8 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.01%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Aug 13) and GDP Growth Rate YoY (Aug 13).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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CPI YoY - PL
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About CPI YoY — Poland
DEFINITION
Poland's CPI YoY for July came in at 3.000000%, matching estimates and rising from June's 2.500000%, indicating accelerating inflation. This increase marks a clear upward trend after a period of moderation. Market focus will remain on upcoming monetary policy decisions amid this inflation rebound. Updated 7/31/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 3 %, consensus 3 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 2.5 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 2.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100, r=0.55) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - PL Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | PL | CPI YoY | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | 3.00 | Low |
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.8 | -0.5 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low |
| 07:30 | PL | CPI MoM | 0.8 | -0.5 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low |
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate YoY | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | PL | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 46.1 | 47.5 | 47.60 | Low | |