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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland CPI YoY climbed to 3.1% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Poland CPI YoY climbed to 3.1% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.1% from April's 3.0% reading. The reading matched expectations.
Latest Release
3.1
Actual
3.1
Consensus
3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.01 percentage points
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 3.13
Actual: 3.1
Error: +0.02
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI YoY (Poland) was reported at 3.1% in June 2026. This matched the market consensus of 3.1% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.98%, ranging from 2.5% to 3.2% across 6 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.07%, up from the prior three at 2.9%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Jun 24) and Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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CPI YoY - PL
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About CPI YoY — Poland
DEFINITION
Poland's CPI YoY for May came in at 3.100000%, matching estimates and rising from April's 3.000000%. This indicates a slight acceleration in inflation year-over-year, maintaining pressure on price stability. Market participants will watch upcoming central bank communications closely for policy signals. Updated 6/16/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 3.1 %, consensus 3.1 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 3.1 %. Before that (May 2026): 3.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.