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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.8 Points in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Indonesia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.8 Points in August 2026, released September 2026, down 0.4 Points from July's 50.2 Points reading. The reading matched the 50.5 Points consensus.
Latest Release
49.800000
Actual
50.500000
Consensus
50.200000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.7
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 51.9
Actual: 49.8
Error: +2.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.72 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Indonesia) was reported at 49.80 Points in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 50.50 Points by 0.70 Points. The reading fell from the previous value of 50.20 Points. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 51.26 Points, ranging from 49.80 Points to 53.80 Points across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 50.00 Points, down from the prior three at 52.17 Points. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.39 Points) is lower than the prior year (σ 2.21 Points). In September readings over the past 3 years, S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has averaged 50.07 Points.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Nikkei 225 (Bearish Nikkei 225). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.70 Points.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 1, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - ID
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About S&P Global Manufacturing PMI — Indonesia
DEFINITION
The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in major economies around the world. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the global manufacturing industry, serving as a key barometer for investors, businesses, and policymakers. The index is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers, and its timely and accurate data is highly regarded for its ability to forecast economic trends and inform decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 49.8 Points, consensus 50.5 Points. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 50.2 Points. Before that (May 2026): 50 Points.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Nikkei 225 (Bearish Nikkei 225, r=-0.72) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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