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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland S&P Global Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.3 Points in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Poland S&P Global Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.3 Points in August 2026, released September 2026, down 0.7 Points from July's 49 Points reading. The reading matched the 49.6 Points consensus.
Latest Release
48.300000
Actual
49.600000
Consensus
49.000000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.14
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 50.35
Actual: 48.3
Error: +2.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.75 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.74 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/PLN | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Poland) was reported at 48.30 Points in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 49.60 Points by 1.30 Points. The reading fell from the previous value of 49.00 Points. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 48.57 Points, ranging from 47.10 Points to 49.40 Points across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 48.90 Points, up from the prior three at 48.20 Points. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.62 Points) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.66 Points). In September readings over the past 3 years, S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has averaged 47.57 Points.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.14 Points.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 1, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - PL
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About S&P Global Manufacturing PMI — Poland
DEFINITION
The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in major economies around the world. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the global manufacturing industry, serving as a key barometer for investors, businesses, and policymakers. The index is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers, and its timely and accurate data is highly regarded for its ability to forecast economic trends and inform decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 48.3 Points, consensus 49.6 Points. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 49 Points. Before that (May 2026): 49.4 Points.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.75) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - PL Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | PL | Balance of Trade | -1843 | -1469 | -1200 | -1521.50 | Low |
| 12:00 | PL | Current Account | -2419 | -2216 | -2341 | -2380.00 | Low |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low |
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | PL | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.20 | Low | |
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:30 | PL | Consumer Confidence | -11.3 | -12 | -11.40 | Low | |