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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
European UnionEurozone Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 1.9% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Eurozone Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 1.9% in August 2026, released October 2026, up 0.3% from July's 1.6% reading. The reading matched the 1.9% consensus. Producer Price Index MoM has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 0.65%, vs 1.4% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 93rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.9
Actual
1.9
Consensus
1.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.22 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 2
Actual: 1.9
Error: +0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.86 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.85 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.75 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (European Union) was reported at 1.9% in October 2026. This matched the market consensus of 1.9% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.49%, ranging from -0.3% to 1.9% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.07%, up from the prior three at 0.5%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.71%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.05%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.23%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC EUR speculative net positions (Oct 30) and Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - EU
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About Producer Price Index MoM — European Union
DEFINITION
The EU Producer Price Index MoM rose 1.900000% in September, matching estimates and exceeding August’s 1.600000%. This acceleration signals stronger input cost pressures heading into the final quarter. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation data closely amid steady central bank vigilance. Updated 10/5/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 1.9 %, consensus 1.9 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 1.6 %. Before that (Jun 2026): -0.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.86) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - EU Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | EU | Industrial Sentiment | -3.4 | -3.9 | -3.8 | -3.60 | Low |
| 10:00 | EU | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 33.9 | 34.7 | 38 | 35.95 | Low |
| 10:00 | EU | Selling Price Expectations | 24.8 | 20.8 | 22 | 23.40 | Low |
| 10:00 | EU | Services Sentiment | 5.3 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.60 | Low |
| 10:00 | EU | Economic Sentiment | 96.9 | 97.5 | 97.5 | 97.20 | Medium |
| 10:00 | EU | Consumer Confidence | -17.9 | -16.8 | -17.9 | -17.90 | Low |
| 13:15 | EU | Deposit Facility Rate | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.50 | High |
| 13:15 | EU | Interest Rate Decision | 2.65 | 2.65 | 2.65 | 2.65 | High |
| 13:15 | EU | Marginal Lending Rate | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low |