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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
European UnionEurozone Producer Price Index MoM fell to -0.3% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Eurozone Producer Price Index MoM fell to -0.3% in June 2026, released August 2026, down 0.5% from May's 0.2% reading. The reading matched the -0.3% consensus. Producer Price Index MoM has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 0.4%, vs 1.13% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 25th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-0.3
Actual
-0.3
Consensus
0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.22 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: -0.25
Actual: -0.3
Error: +0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.86 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.85 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.75 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.67 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (European Union) was reported at -0.3% in August 2026. This matched the market consensus of -0.3% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.15%, ranging from -0.3% to 0.7% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.17%, down from the prior three at 0.3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.37%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.19%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.23%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 3, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Industrial Production MoM (Aug 13) and Balance of Trade (Aug 14).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - EU
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About Producer Price Index MoM — European Union
DEFINITION
The EU's Producer Price Index MoM for July registered at -0.300000%, matching estimates but reversing from June's 0.200000%. This marks a contraction in producer prices after a slight expansion the previous month. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and ECB policy signals amid this cooling trend. Updated 8/5/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -0.3 %, consensus -0.3 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 0.2 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.86) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
Σ
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Economic Calendar - EU Events
| Monday, August 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | EU | Sentix Investors Sentiment | -3.1 | -0.7 | -0.70 | Low | |
| Thursday, August 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | EU | Industrial Production YoY | -1.2 | -2.4 | -2.60 | Low | |
| 09:00 | EU | Industrial Production MoM | -0.2 | 0 | -0.05 | Medium | |