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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
European UnionEurozone Core CPI YoY climbed to 2.5% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Eurozone Core CPI YoY climbed to 2.5% in July 2026, up 0.1% from June's 2.4% reading. The reading matched expectations.
Latest Release
2.5
Actual
2.4
Consensus
2.4
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Core CPI YoY (European Union) was reported at 2.5% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.4% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include ECB President Lagarde Speech (Aug 19) and ECB Lagarde Speech (Aug 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Core CPI YoY - EU
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About Core CPI YoY — European Union
DEFINITION
Core CPI YoY (Consumer Price Index Year-over-Year) is a widely used financial indicator that measures the change in the prices of goods and services over a 12-month period, excluding volatile food and energy prices. It provides valuable insights into the overall inflation trends and helps investors and policymakers make informed decisions about economic conditions and monetary policies. This indicator is considered a key measure of inflation and is closely monitored by financial analysts and market participants.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 2.5 %, consensus 2.4 %.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - EU Events
| Tuesday, August 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | EU | ZEW Economic Sentiment Index | 31.4 | 23.4 | 25.4 | 28.40 | Medium |
| Wednesday, August 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | EU | Current Account | -6.2 | 32 | 28.05 | Low | |
| 09:00 | EU | HICP MoM | 0.2 | 0 | 0.00 | Low | |
| 09:00 | EU | CPI MoM | -0.1 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Medium | |
| 09:00 | EU | Core CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0 | 0.00 | Low | |
| 09:00 | EU | HICP YoY | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.20 | Low | |
| Thursday, August 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | EU | Construction Output YoY | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.30 | Low | |
| 09:00 | EU | Labour Cost Index YoY | 3.2 | 3 | 3.15 | Low | |