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Germany 12-Month Bubill Auction climbed to 3.07% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.41% from July's 2.66% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.54 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
12-Month Bubill Auction (Germany) was reported at 3.07% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.66%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.3%, ranging from 1.87% to 3.07% across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.76%, up from the prior three at 2.41%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.36%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.3%). In September readings over the past 3 years, 12-Month Bubill Auction has averaged 2.56%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC).
The next release is scheduled for October 12, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Factory Orders MoM (Oct 6) and Bundesbank Buch Speech (Oct 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
The 12-Month Bubill Auction is a financial indicator that measures the interest rate at which the Australian government borrows money from investors for a period of 12 months. This auction is held every month and provides insight into the current demand for Australian government debt and the overall health of the economy. It is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it can impact interest rates and the overall cost of borrowing for the government.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 3.065 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 2.656 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 2.566 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.54) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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| Monday, October 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:55 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53.8 | 51.8 | 53.8 | 53.80 | Low | |
| 07:55 | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.9 | 49.7 | 52.9 | 52.90 | Low | |
| Tuesday, October 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:30 | S&P Global Construction PMI | 48.7 | 48 | 48.00 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, October 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Industrial Production MoM | -1.1 | 0.5 | 0.85 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, October 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Imports MoM | -5.7 | 2.8 | 1.50 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Exports MoM | -0.8 | 0.8 | 1.40 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Balance of Trade | 21.3 | 19 | 21.15 | High | ||