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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany Bavaria CPI MoM fell to -0.2% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Germany Bavaria CPI MoM fell to -0.2% in May 2026, down 0.7% from April's 0.5% reading.
Latest Release
-0.200000
Actual
—
Consensus
0.500000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | INDEX | Bullish FTSE 100 | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | INDEX | Bullish DAX | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Bavaria CPI MoM (Germany) was reported at -0.2% in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.18%, ranging from -0.2% to 1.2% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.4%, up from the prior three at -0.07%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.38%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.26%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Bavaria CPI MoM has averaged 0%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Bundesbank Nagel Speech (Jun 18) and Producer Price Index YoY (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Bavaria CPI MoM - DE
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About Bavaria CPI MoM — Germany
DEFINITION
Bavaria CPI MoM is a monthly financial indicator that measures the change in the average price of goods and services in the German state of Bavaria. It is an important tool for monitoring inflation and economic trends in the region, providing valuable insights for businesses and policymakers. This indicator is widely used by investors and analysts to make informed decisions and assess the overall health of the Bavarian economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual -0.2 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0.5 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 1.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100, r=0.59) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.