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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany Bavaria CPI MoM climbed to 1.2% in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Germany Bavaria CPI MoM climbed to 1.2% in March 2026, up 1.0% from February's 0.2% reading.
Latest Release
1.200000
Actual
—
Consensus
0.200000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Bavaria CPI MoM (Germany) was reported at 0.5% in April 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.21%, ranging from -0.2% to 1.2% across 11 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.47%, up from the prior three at 0.03%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.36%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.26%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for May 29, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (May 29) and Unemployed Persons (May 29).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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Bavaria CPI MoM - DE
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About Bavaria CPI MoM — Germany
DEFINITION
Bavaria CPI MoM is a monthly financial indicator that measures the change in the average price of goods and services in the German state of Bavaria. It is an important tool for monitoring inflation and economic trends in the region, providing valuable insights for businesses and policymakers. This indicator is widely used by investors and analysts to make informed decisions and assess the overall health of the Bavarian economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.5 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 1.2 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 0.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.