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Germany 2-Year Schatz Auction climbed to 2.85% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.07% from June's 2.78% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.36 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
2-Year Schatz Auction (Germany) was reported at 2.85% in August 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.78%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.36%, ranging from 1.91% to 2.85% across 15 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.8%, up from the prior three at 2.62%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.33%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.17%). In August readings over the past 3 years, 2-Year Schatz Auction has averaged 2.48%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500).
The next release is scheduled for September 15, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Wholesale Prices MoM (Sep 15) and Wholesale Prices YoY (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
The 2-Year Schatz Auction is a financial indicator that measures the interest rate at which the German government borrows money for a period of two years. This auction is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it provides insight into the current state of the German economy and the government's borrowing costs. The results of the auction can also impact the overall market sentiment and influence interest rates in the broader financial market.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 2.85 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 2.78 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 2.77 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.52) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | Wholesale Prices MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | -0.60 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Wholesale Prices YoY | 5.3 | 6.2 | 5.35 | Medium | ||
| 09:00 | ZEW Economic Sentiment Index | 34.2 | 37 | 45.25 | High | ||
| 09:00 | ZEW Current Conditions | -61.1 | -52.2 | -53.70 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | Economic Sentiment | 34.2 | 42.7 | 50.85 | Medium | ||