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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany 2-Year Schatz Auction fell to 3.1% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Germany 2-Year Schatz Auction fell to 3.1% in September 2026, released October 2026, down 0.17% from August's 3.27% reading.
Latest Release
3.100000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.270000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
2-Year Schatz Auction (Germany) was reported at 3.1% in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.27%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.52%, ranging from 1.98% to 3.27% across 15 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.07%, up from the prior three at 2.71%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.39%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.16%). In October readings over the past 3 years, 2-Year Schatz Auction has averaged 2.57%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 27, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Bundesbank Nagel Speech (Oct 17) and Producer Price Index YoY (Oct 20).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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2-Year Schatz Auction - DE
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About 2-Year Schatz Auction — Germany
DEFINITION
The 2-Year Schatz Auction is a financial indicator that measures the interest rate at which the German government borrows money for a period of two years. This auction is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it provides insight into the current state of the German economy and the government's borrowing costs. The results of the auction can also impact the overall market sentiment and influence interest rates in the broader financial market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 3.1 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 3.27 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 2.85 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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