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Germany 5-Year Bobl Auction climbed to 3.09% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.16% from July's 2.93% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
5-Year Bobl Auction (Germany) was reported at 3.09% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.93%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.55%, ranging from 2.21% to 3.09% across 12 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.89%, up from the prior three at 2.67%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.28%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.16%). In September readings over the past 3 years, 5-Year Bobl Auction has averaged 2.71%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
The next release is scheduled for September 22, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Wholesale Prices MoM (Sep 15) and Wholesale Prices YoY (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
The 5-Year Bobl Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest for German government bonds with a maturity of five years. This auction is held regularly by the German Federal Government to raise funds for its operations and is closely monitored by investors and analysts as a gauge of market sentiment and economic stability. The results of the auction, including the interest rate and amount of bids received, can provide valuable insights into the current state of the German economy and the overall market conditions.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 3.09 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 2.93 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 2.64 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | Wholesale Prices MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | -0.60 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Wholesale Prices YoY | 5.3 | 6.2 | 5.35 | Medium | ||
| 09:00 | ZEW Economic Sentiment Index | 34.2 | 37 | 45.25 | High | ||
| 09:00 | ZEW Current Conditions | -61.1 | -52.2 | -53.70 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | Economic Sentiment | 34.2 | 42.7 | 50.85 | Medium | ||