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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany 5-Year Bobl Auction fell to 2.64% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Germany 5-Year Bobl Auction fell to 2.64% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 0.21% from April's 2.85% reading.
Latest Release
2.640000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.850000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
5-Year Bobl Auction (Germany) was reported at 2.64% in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.85%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.45%, ranging from 2.21% to 2.85% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.74%, up from the prior three at 2.43%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.2%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.15%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with DAX (Bullish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 11, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Jul 31) and Employment Change (Jul 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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5-Year Bobl Auction - DE
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About 5-Year Bobl Auction — Germany
DEFINITION
The 5-Year Bobl Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest for German government bonds with a maturity of five years. This auction is held regularly by the German Federal Government to raise funds for its operations and is closely monitored by investors and analysts as a gauge of market sentiment and economic stability. The results of the auction, including the interest rate and amount of bids received, can provide valuable insights into the current state of the German economy and the overall market conditions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 2.64 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 2.85 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 2.74 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bullish DAX, r=0.44) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - DE Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | DE | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| 08:00 | DE | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.75 | High |
| 08:00 | DE | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| 08:00 | DE | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.75 | Medium |
| 12:00 | DE | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.75 | High |
| 12:00 | DE | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 12:00 | DE | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.9 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.85 | Low |
| 12:00 | DE | HICP MoM | 0.9 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.85 | Low |
| 12:00 | DE | HICP YoY | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 12:00 | DE | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.8 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 0.75 | Medium |
| 12:00 | DE | CPI YoY | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Medium |
| 12:00 | DE | CPI MoM | 0.8 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 0.75 | High |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:55 | DE | Unemployment Rate | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.30 | Medium | |
| 07:55 | DE | Employment Change | -1 | 5 | 5.00 | Medium | |
| 07:55 | DE | Unemployed Persons | 2.984 | 2.989 | 2.99 | Medium | |