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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany 10-Year Bund Auction fell to 3.37% in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Germany 10-Year Bund Auction fell to 3.37% in October 2026, down 0.21% from September's 3.58% reading.
Latest Release
3.370000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.580000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.61 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
10-Year Bund Auction (Germany) was reported at 3.37% in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.58%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.07%, ranging from 2.67% to 3.58% across 14 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.45%, up from the prior three at 3.16%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.26%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.21%). In October readings over the past 3 years, 10-Year Bund Auction has averaged 2.62%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 25, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Oct 30) and Inflation Rate MoM (Oct 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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10-Year Bund Auction - DE
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About 10-Year Bund Auction — Germany
DEFINITION
The 10-Year Bund Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for 10-year German government bonds. It is conducted by the German Federal Government and serves as a key benchmark for the country's borrowing costs. The results of the auction provide insight into investor confidence in the German economy and can impact global financial markets. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and investors as it reflects the overall sentiment towards the stability and creditworthiness of the German government.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 3.37 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 3.58 %. Before that (Sep 2026): 3.39 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100, r=-0.61) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - DE Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | DE | Import Prices MoM | 2.1 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.95 | Low |
| 07:00 | DE | Import Prices YoY | 10.4 | 8.3 | 10.3 | 10.35 | Low |
| 08:55 | DE | Unemployment Rate | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.43 | High |
| 08:55 | DE | Unemployed Persons | 3.016 | 3.012 | 3.017 | 3.02 | Medium |
| 08:55 | DE | Employment Change | 4 | 12 | 5 | 5.00 | High |
| 09:00 | DE | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| 09:00 | DE | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.2 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.15 | High |