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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany 10-Year Bund Auction climbed to 3.13% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Germany 10-Year Bund Auction climbed to 3.13% in July 2026, up 0.04% from June's 3.09% reading.
Latest Release
3.130000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.090000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
10-Year Bund Auction (Germany) was reported at 3.13% in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.09%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.83%, ranging from 2.25% to 3.16% across 15 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.06%, up from the prior three at 3.04%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.23%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.24%). In July readings over the past 3 years, 10-Year Bund Auction has averaged 2.78%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 19, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Jul 31) and Employment Change (Jul 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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10-Year Bund Auction - DE
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About 10-Year Bund Auction — Germany
DEFINITION
The 10-Year Bund Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for 10-year German government bonds. It is conducted by the German Federal Government and serves as a key benchmark for the country's borrowing costs. The results of the auction provide insight into investor confidence in the German economy and can impact global financial markets. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and investors as it reflects the overall sentiment towards the stability and creditworthiness of the German government.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 3.13 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 3.09 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 2.96 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100, r=-0.52) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - DE Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | DE | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| 08:00 | DE | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.75 | High |
| 08:00 | DE | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| 08:00 | DE | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.75 | Medium |
| 12:00 | DE | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.75 | High |
| 12:00 | DE | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 12:00 | DE | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.9 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.85 | Low |
| 12:00 | DE | HICP MoM | 0.9 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.85 | Low |
| 12:00 | DE | HICP YoY | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 12:00 | DE | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.8 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 0.75 | Medium |
| 12:00 | DE | CPI YoY | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Medium |
| 12:00 | DE | CPI MoM | 0.8 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 0.75 | High |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:55 | DE | Unemployment Rate | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.30 | Medium | |
| 07:55 | DE | Employment Change | -1 | 5 | 5.00 | Medium | |
| 07:55 | DE | Unemployed Persons | 2.984 | 2.989 | 2.99 | Medium | |