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Germany Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 41.42 in August 2026, released September 2026, down 0.71 from July's 42.13 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Germany) was reported at 41.42 in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 42.13. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 44.23, ranging from 40.67 to 47.07 across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 41.94, down from the prior three at 42.87. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.23) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.30).
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/GBP, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Wholesale Prices MoM (Sep 15) and Wholesale Prices YoY (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
Germany's Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI for September registered at 41.420000, down from August's 42.130000, signaling a continued contraction below the 50 threshold. The index declined by 0.71 points month-over-month, reflecting weakening sentiment. Market participants will watch upcoming economic data for further clarity on the trajectory. Updated 9/10/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 41.42. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 42.13. Before that (Jul 2026): 42.28.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50, r=0.43) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | Wholesale Prices MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | -0.60 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Wholesale Prices YoY | 5.3 | 6.2 | 5.35 | Medium | ||
| 09:00 | ZEW Economic Sentiment Index | 34.2 | 37 | 45.25 | High | ||
| 09:00 | ZEW Current Conditions | -61.1 | -52.2 | -53.70 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | Economic Sentiment | 34.2 | 42.7 | 50.85 | Medium | ||