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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany Full Year GDP Growth climbed to -0.2% in January 2025
FMPQuarterlyReleased January 2025
Germany Full Year GDP Growth climbed to -0.2% in January 2025, up 0.1% from December's -0.3% reading. The reading matched the -0.2% consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.06%. Full Year GDP Growth is now the highest in 12 months.
Latest Release
-0.2
Actual
-0.2
Consensus
-0.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0 percentage points
across last 9 releases
Last Call
Jan 2025
Predicted: -0.2
Actual: -0.2
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | INDEX | Bullish DE | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Full Year GDP Growth (Germany) was reported at -0.2% in January 2025. This matched the market consensus of -0.2% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.3%. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a quarterly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.47%, up from the prior three at -0.57%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with DAX (Bullish DE). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 9 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (May 29) and Unemployed Persons (May 29).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2025.
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Full Year GDP Growth - DE
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About Full Year GDP Growth — Germany
DEFINITION
Full Year GDP Growth is a key economic indicator that measures the overall growth of a country's economy over the course of a year. It takes into account the total value of goods and services produced within a country's borders and is a crucial measure of economic health and stability. A high Full Year GDP Growth indicates a strong and growing economy, while a low or negative growth rate may signal economic challenges. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall economic performance of a country.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 0.2 %, consensus 0.2 %. Prior reading (Jan 2025): -0.2 %. Before that (Jan 2024): -0.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bullish DE, r=0.55) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.