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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany Index-Linked Bund Auction climbed to 0.42% in September 2023
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2023
Germany Index-Linked Bund Auction climbed to 0.42% in September 2023, released October 2023, up 0.23% from August's 0.19% reading.
Latest Release
0.420000
Actual
—
Consensus
0.190000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Index-Linked Bund Auction (Germany) was reported at 0.42% in October 2023. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.19%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with DAX (Bullish DE). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Oct 30) and Inflation Rate MoM (Oct 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2023.
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Index-Linked Bund Auction - DE
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About Index-Linked Bund Auction — Germany
DEFINITION
The Index-Linked Bund Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and pricing for government-issued bonds that are linked to an inflation index. This auction provides valuable insight into the market's expectations for future inflation rates and can be used as a benchmark for investors looking to hedge against inflation. It is a key tool for governments and investors to assess the current economic climate and make informed decisions about bond investments.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2023): actual 0.42 %. Prior reading (Sep 2023): 0.19 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bullish DE, r=0.55) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - DE Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | DE | Import Prices MoM | 2.1 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.95 | Low |
| 07:00 | DE | Import Prices YoY | 10.4 | 8.3 | 10.3 | 10.35 | Low |
| 08:55 | DE | Unemployment Rate | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.43 | High |
| 08:55 | DE | Unemployed Persons | 3.016 | 3.012 | 3.017 | 3.02 | Medium |
| 08:55 | DE | Employment Change | 4 | 12 | 5 | 5.00 | High |
| 09:00 | DE | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| 09:00 | DE | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.2 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.15 | High |