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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany New Car Sales YoY climbed to 9.0% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Germany New Car Sales YoY climbed to 9.0% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 6.4% from August's 2.6% reading. The print exceeded the 4.0% consensus by 5.0%. New Car Sales YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, New Car Sales YoY averaged 1.9%, vs 1.4% in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
9
Actual
4
Consensus
2.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±6.22 percentage points
across last 5 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 2.78
Actual: 9
Error: -6.22
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
New Car Sales YoY (Germany) was reported at 9% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 4% by 5%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with DAX (Bullish DE). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Oct 30) and Inflation Rate MoM (Oct 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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New Car Sales YoY - DE
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About New Car Sales YoY — Germany
DEFINITION
New Car Sales YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the number of new cars sold by a particular company or industry. This metric is used to assess the overall health and growth of the automotive market, as well as the performance of individual companies within the industry. A positive YoY change indicates an increase in new car sales, while a negative change suggests a decline. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it provides valuable insights into consumer spending and economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 9 %, consensus 4 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 2.6 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 1.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bullish DE, r=0.55) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - DE Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | DE | Import Prices MoM | 2.1 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.95 | Low |
| 07:00 | DE | Import Prices YoY | 10.4 | 8.3 | 10.3 | 10.35 | Low |
| 08:55 | DE | Unemployment Rate | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.43 | High |
| 08:55 | DE | Unemployed Persons | 3.016 | 3.012 | 3.017 | 3.02 | Medium |
| 08:55 | DE | Employment Change | 4 | 12 | 5 | 5.00 | High |
| 09:00 | DE | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| 09:00 | DE | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.2 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.15 | High |