Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany Bavaria CPI YoY climbed to 2.8% in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Germany Bavaria CPI YoY climbed to 2.8% in March 2026, up 0.9% from February's 1.9% reading.
Latest Release
2.800000
Actual
—
Consensus
1.900000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Bavaria CPI YoY (Germany) was reported at 2.9% in April 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.11%, ranging from 1.7% to 2.8% across 11 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.27%, up from the prior three at 2.03%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.29%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.35%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for May 29, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (May 29) and Unemployed Persons (May 29).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
SHARE
Bavaria CPI YoY - DE
Loading chart data...
About Bavaria CPI YoY — Germany
DEFINITION
Bavaria CPI YoY is a key financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the German state of Bavaria. It provides valuable insights into the overall inflation trends and purchasing power of consumers in this region, making it a crucial tool for businesses and policymakers in their decision-making processes. The data is collected and reported by the Bavarian State Office for Statistics, ensuring accuracy and reliability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 2.9 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 2.8 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 1.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.56) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.