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Germany Bavaria CPI YoY climbed to 2.8% in March 2026, up 0.9% from February's 1.9% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Bavaria CPI YoY (Germany) was reported at 2.9% in April 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.11%, ranging from 1.7% to 2.8% across 11 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
The trailing three releases averaged 2.27%, up from the prior three at 2.03%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.29%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.35%).
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
The next release is scheduled for May 29, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (May 29) and Unemployed Persons (May 29).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
Bavaria CPI YoY is a key financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the German state of Bavaria. It provides valuable insights into the overall inflation trends and purchasing power of consumers in this region, making it a crucial tool for businesses and policymakers in their decision-making processes. The data is collected and reported by the Bavarian State Office for Statistics, ensuring accuracy and reliability.
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 2.9 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 2.8 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 1.9 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.56) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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| Friday, May 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | Import Prices YoY | 2.3 | 5.3 | 5.30 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Import Prices MoM | 3.6 | 1.2 | 1.20 | Low | ||