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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany 15-Year Bund Auction climbed to 3.46% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Germany 15-Year Bund Auction climbed to 3.46% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.16% from May's 3.3% reading.
Latest Release
3.460000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.300000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.80 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
15-Year Bund Auction (Germany) was reported at 3.46% in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.15%, ranging from 2.96% to 3.46% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.35%, up from the prior three at 3.06%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.17%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.22%). In July readings over the past 3 years, 15-Year Bund Auction has averaged 3.03%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Jul 31) and Employment Change (Jul 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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15-Year Bund Auction - DE
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About 15-Year Bund Auction — Germany
DEFINITION
The 15-Year Bund Auction is a financial indicator that measures the interest rate at which the German government borrows money by selling 15-year bonds to investors. This auction is closely monitored by financial markets as it reflects the confidence and stability of the German economy, and can impact global interest rates and bond yields. A successful auction with low interest rates indicates a strong economy, while a high interest rate may signal potential economic concerns.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 3.46 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 3.3 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 3.34 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.80) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - DE Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | DE | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| 08:00 | DE | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.75 | High |
| 08:00 | DE | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| 08:00 | DE | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.75 | Medium |
| 12:00 | DE | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.75 | High |
| 12:00 | DE | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 12:00 | DE | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.9 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.85 | Low |
| 12:00 | DE | HICP MoM | 0.9 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.85 | Low |
| 12:00 | DE | HICP YoY | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 12:00 | DE | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.8 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 0.75 | Medium |
| 12:00 | DE | CPI YoY | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Medium |
| 12:00 | DE | CPI MoM | 0.8 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 0.75 | High |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:55 | DE | Unemployment Rate | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.30 | Medium | |
| 07:55 | DE | Employment Change | -1 | 5 | 5.00 | Medium | |
| 07:55 | DE | Unemployed Persons | 2.984 | 2.989 | 2.99 | Medium | |