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Data from Eurostat. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
European UnionEurozone Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY held to 2.1% in August 2026
EurostatMonthlyReleased September 2026
Eurozone Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY held to 2.1% in August 2026, released September 2026. The reading matched expectations.
Latest Release
2.1
Actual
2.1
Consensus
2.1
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY (European Union) was reported at 2.2% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 16, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include ECB President Lagarde Speech (Oct 14) and ECB Lagarde Speech (Oct 14).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY - EU
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About Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY — European Union
DEFINITION
The Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY is a key financial indicator that measures the annual change in the overall price level of goods and services in a country. It takes into account the impact of price changes on both domestic and international markets, providing a more comprehensive view of inflation. This indicator is widely used by policymakers and investors to assess the health of an economy and make informed decisions regarding monetary policy and investment strategies. A higher Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY indicates a rise in prices, while a lower rate suggests a decrease in inflation.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 2.2 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 2.1 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 2.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - EU Events
| Thursday, October 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | EU | Industrial Production YoY | 0 | -0.1 | -0.45 | Low | |
| 09:00 | EU | Industrial Production MoM | -0.1 | 0.1 | -0.10 | Medium | |