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Data from Eurostat. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
European UnionEurozone Inflation Rate climbed to 104.31 in September 2026
EurostatMonthlyReleased October 2026
Eurozone Inflation Rate climbed to 104.31 in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.62 from August's 103.69 reading. The reading matched expectations. Inflation Rate has now risen for 3 consecutive months.
Latest Release
104.31
Actual
104.3
Consensus
103.69
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.04
across last 3 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 104.35
Actual: 104.31
Error: +0.04
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Inflation Rate (European Union) was reported at 104.31 in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 104.30 by 0.01. The reading rose from the previous value of 103.69. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 4, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 4) and Core Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Inflation Rate - EU
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About Inflation Rate — European Union
DEFINITION
The inflation rate is a financial indicator that measures the overall increase in prices of goods and services in an economy over a specific period of time. It is an important measure of the purchasing power of a currency and can have a significant impact on the economy, interest rates, and consumer spending. A high inflation rate can indicate a decrease in the value of money, while a low inflation rate can signify a stable and growing economy. This indicator is closely monitored by governments, businesses, and investors to make informed decisions about monetary policies, investments, and financial planning.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 104.3, consensus 104.3. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 104.3. Before that (Aug 2026): 103.7.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - EU Events
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | EU | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.90 | High | |
| 10:00 | EU | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Medium | |
| 10:00 | EU | Inflation Rate | 104.31 | 104.5 | 104.50 | High | |
| 10:00 | EU | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |