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Data from Eurostat. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
European UnionEurozone Inflation Rate climbed to 103.7 in August 2026
EurostatMonthlyReleased September 2026
Eurozone Inflation Rate climbed to 103.7 in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.46 from July's 103.24 reading. The reading matched expectations.
Latest Release
103.7
Actual
103.7
Consensus
103.24
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Inflation Rate (European Union) was reported at 103.70 in September 2026. This matched the market consensus of 103.70 exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 103.24. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CPI (Sep 17) and Eurogroup Meeting (Sep 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Inflation Rate - EU
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About Inflation Rate — European Union
DEFINITION
The inflation rate is a financial indicator that measures the overall increase in prices of goods and services in an economy over a specific period of time. It is an important measure of the purchasing power of a currency and can have a significant impact on the economy, interest rates, and consumer spending. A high inflation rate can indicate a decrease in the value of money, while a low inflation rate can signify a stable and growing economy. This indicator is closely monitored by governments, businesses, and investors to make informed decisions about monetary policies, investments, and financial planning.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 103.7, consensus 103.7.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - EU Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | EU | Balance of Trade | 14.2 | 7.2 | 3.7 | 8.95 | Medium |
| 09:00 | EU | ZEW Economic Sentiment Index | 25.8 | 31.4 | 39.9 | 32.85 | Medium |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | EU | Industrial Production MoM | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.15 | Medium |
| 09:00 | EU | Industrial Production YoY | 0 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.05 | Low |
| 09:00 | EU | Wage Growth YoY | 3 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.10 | Low |
| 09:00 | EU | Labour Cost Index YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3 | 3.05 | Low |
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | EU | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Low | |
| 09:00 | EU | CPI n.s.a | 103.24 | 103.7 | 103.70 | Low | |
| 09:00 | EU | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |
| 09:00 | EU | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |
| 09:00 | EU | CPI | 103.7 | 103.24 | 103.7 | 103.69 | High |
| 09:00 | EU | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Low |
| 09:00 | EU | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.42 | Low |
| 09:00 | EU | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low |
| 09:00 | EU | Inflation Rate | 103.7 | 103.24 | 103.7 | 103.70 | High |