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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
European UnionEurozone Consumer Confidence climbed to -15.9% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Eurozone Consumer Confidence climbed to -15.9% in July 2026, up 1.7% from June's -17.6% reading. The reading matched the -15.9% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 1.2%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -17.86%, vs -15.56% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 24th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-15.9
Actual
-15.9
Consensus
-17.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.63 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -15.65
Actual: -15.9
Error: +0.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (European Union) was reported at -15.9% in July 2026. This matched the market consensus of -15.9% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of -17.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -15.17%, ranging from -19% to -12.2% across 18 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -16.5%, up from the prior three at -18.57%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.06%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.1%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -14.53%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, positively correlated (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.63%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 21, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC EUR speculative net positions (Jul 31) and ECB Economic Bulletin (Aug 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - EU
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About Consumer Confidence — European Union
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual -15.9 %, consensus -15.9 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): -15.9 %. Before that (Jun 2026): -17.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100, r=0.56) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - EU Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | EU | Economic Sentiment | 96.9 | 95.4 | 96 | 96.45 | Medium |
| 09:00 | EU | Services Sentiment | 4.7 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 4.25 | Low |
| 09:00 | EU | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.75 | Medium |
| 09:00 | EU | Unemployment Rate | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 6.25 | Medium |
| 09:00 | EU | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 30.3 | 34 | 38 | 34.15 | Low |
| 09:00 | EU | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.75 | High |
| 09:00 | EU | Industrial Sentiment | -6.1 | -7.5 | -7 | -6.55 | Low |
| 09:00 | EU | Selling Price Expectations | 17.7 | 22.1 | 25 | 21.35 | Low |
| 09:00 | EU | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.4 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.30 | High |
| 09:00 | EU | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.4 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.30 | Medium |
| 09:00 | EU | Consumer Confidence | -15.9 | -17.6 | -15.9 | -15.90 | Low |