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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
European UnionEurozone Consumer Confidence climbed to -15.5% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Eurozone Consumer Confidence climbed to -15.5% in August 2026, up 0.4% from July's -15.9% reading. The reading matched the -15.5% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -16.54%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -16.54%, vs -19.8% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 32nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-15.5
Actual
-15.5
Consensus
-15.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.63 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: -15.35
Actual: -15.5
Error: +0.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (European Union) was reported at -15.5% in August 2026. This matched the market consensus of -15.5% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of -15.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -15.17%, ranging from -19% to -12.2% across 18 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -15.63%, up from the prior three at -17.1%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.06%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.12%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -14.82%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, positively correlated (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.63%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 22, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Sep 15) and ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - EU
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About Consumer Confidence — European Union
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual -15.5 %, consensus -15.5 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): -15.5 %. Before that (Jul 2026): -15.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100, r=0.48) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - EU Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | EU | Balance of Trade | 8.6 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium | |
| 09:00 | EU | ZEW Economic Sentiment Index | 31.4 | 39.9 | 48.25 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | EU | Industrial Production MoM | 0 | -0.4 | -0.40 | Medium | |
| 09:00 | EU | Industrial Production YoY | 0.1 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low | |
| 09:00 | EU | Wage Growth YoY | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.45 | Low | |
| 09:00 | EU | Labour Cost Index YoY | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | 2.98 | Low |