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Eurozone HCOB Manufacturing PMI climbed to 50.8 in February 2026, released March 2026, up 1.3 from January's 49.5 reading. The reading matched the 50.8 consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 3.2. Over the past 3 months, HCOB Manufacturing PMI averaged 49.58, vs 49.78 in the prior 3-month window. HCOB Manufacturing PMI is now the highest in 22 months.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
The March 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 49.5. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.38. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | Balance of Trade | 7.8 | 11.1 | 5.4 | 6.60 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, May 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | HICP YoY | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | HICP MoM | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | CPI MoM | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 3 | 3.00 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | CPI | 101.99 | 103.05 | 103.05 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.3 | 1 | 1.00 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.20 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | CPI YoY | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.20 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, May 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | Current Account | 21.09 | 32 | 41.75 | Low | ||
| 08:00 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.2 | 51.8 | 51.80 | Medium | ||
| 08:00 | S&P Global Services PMI | 47.6 | 47.7 | 47.70 | Medium | ||
| 08:00 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 48.8 | 48.8 | 48.80 | Medium | ||
| 09:00 | Construction Output YoY | -1.9 | -2.6 | -2.60 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | Labour Cost Index YoY | 3.3 | 3 | 3.00 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Consumer Confidence | -20.6 | -20.8 | -21.05 | Medium | ||