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Eurozone S&P Global Manufacturing PMI climbed to 52.7 Points in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.8 Points from July's 51.9 Points reading. The reading matched the 52.8 Points consensus. Over the past 3 months, S&P Global Manufacturing PMI averaged 52 Points, vs 51.73 Points in the prior 3-month window.
across last 12 releases
Sep 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (European Union) was reported at 52.70 Points in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 52.80 Points by 0.10 Points. The reading rose from the previous value of 51.90 Points. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 51.86 Points, ranging from 51.30 Points to 52.80 Points across 9 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 52.47 Points, up from the prior three at 51.63 Points.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.51 Points.
The next release is scheduled for September 23, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Sep 15) and ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in major economies around the world. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the global manufacturing industry, serving as a key barometer for investors, businesses, and policymakers. The index is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers, and its timely and accurate data is highly regarded for its ability to forecast economic trends and inform decision-making.
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 52.7 Points, consensus 52.8 Points. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 52.8 Points. Before that (Jul 2026): 51.9 Points.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.50) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | Balance of Trade | 8.6 | 3.7 | -0.70 | Medium | ||
| 09:00 | ZEW Economic Sentiment Index | 31.4 | 39.9 | 48.25 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | Industrial Production MoM | 0 | -0.4 | -0.50 | Medium | ||
| 09:00 | Industrial Production YoY | 0.1 | -0.3 | 0.70 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | Wage Growth YoY | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.45 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | Labour Cost Index YoY | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | 2.98 | Low | |