Loading...
Loading...

New Zealand's Trade Balance for August surprised with an actual deficit of -578.00M, missing the 70.00M estimate and reversing sharply from the previous surplus of 203.00M. This significant swing signals a contraction in trade performance, reflecting increased import costs or weaker exports. Market participants will likely watch for potential policy responses to address the widening deficit and its impact on the currency and trade sectors. Updated 8/20/25.
| Tuesday, March 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:45 | NZ | Export Prices QoQ | 5.3 | -1.6 | 0.5 | 2.90 | Low |
| 21:45 | NZ | Import Prices QoQ | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.10 | Low |
| 21:45 | NZ | Terms of Trade QoQ | 3.7 | -2.1 | -0.6 | 1.55 | Low |
| 21:45 | NZ | Imports | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.89 | Low |
| 15:30 | NZ | Global Dairy Trade Price Index | 5.7 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 3.42 | Low |
| Monday, March 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:45 | NZ | Building Permits | 1.9 | -4.5 | 2 | 1.35 | Low |
| Thursday, February 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:00 | NZ | ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence | 100.1 | 107.2 | 106.5 | 107.32 | Low |
| 00:00 | NZ | ANZ Business Confidence | 59.2 | 64.1 | 67 | 68.03 | Medium |
| Sunday, February 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:45 | NZ | Retail Sales YoY | 4.4 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 4.00 | Low |
| 21:45 | NZ | Retail Sales QoQ | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 1.25 | Low |
| 14:45 | NZ | Retail Sales QoQ | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.65 | Medium |
| Thursday, February 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:45 | NZ | Balance of Trade | -0.519 | -88 | -0.1 | 0.04 | Medium |
| Wednesday, February 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:00 | NZ | RBNZ Interest Rate Decision | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.25 | Medium |
| Tuesday, February 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:45 | NZ | PPI Output QoQ | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.20 | Low |
| Monday, February 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:45 | NZ | Food Inflation YoY | 4.6 | 4 | 4.2 | 4.15 | Low |
| Sunday, February 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:45 | NZ | Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY | 0.4 | -1 | -0.4 | 0.00 | Low |
| 21:45 | NZ | Electronic Retail Card Spending MoM | -1.1 | -0.1 | 0.5 | -0.30 | Low |
| Friday, February 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | NZ | Business NZ PMI | 55.2 | 56.1 | 55 | 56.17 | Medium |
| 02:30 | NZ | Inflation Expectations | 2.37 | 2.28 | 1.7 | 2.04 | Low |
| Tuesday, February 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:45 | NZ | Unemployment Rate | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.35 | Medium |
| 21:45 | NZ | Labour Cost Index YoY | 2 | 2.1 | 2 | 2.00 | Low |
| 21:45 | NZ | Labour Cost Index QoQ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low |
| 21:45 | NZ | Participation Rate | 70.5 | 70.3 | 70.5 | 70.50 | Low |
| 21:45 | NZ | Employment Change QoQ | 0.5 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.35 | Medium |
| Monday, February 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:45 | NZ | Building Permits | -4.6 | 2.7 | 1 | 0.35 | Low |
| Friday, January 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | NZ | ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence | - | 101.5 | 102.4 | 103.22 | Low |
| 03:30 | NZ | ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence | 107.2 | 101.5 | 102.4 | 103.22 | Low |
| Thursday, January 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | NZ | ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence | - | 101.5 | 102.4 | 103.22 | Low |
| 00:00 | NZ | ANZ Business Confidence | 64.1 | 73.6 | 73.9 | 74.93 | Medium |
| Wednesday, January 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:45 | NZ | Balance of Trade | 0.052 | -335 | -0.18 | -0.04 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:45 | NZ | Inflation Rate QoQ | - | 1 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Medium |
| 21:45 | NZ | Inflation Rate YoY | - | 3 | 3.1 | 3.10 | Low |
| 21:45 | NZ | Consumer Price Index | - | 1 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium |
| Wednesday, January 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:45 | NZ | Visitor Arrivals YoY | - | 9.4 | 4 | 4.00 | Low |
| 21:45 | NZ | Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY | - | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.20 | Low |
| 21:45 | NZ | Electronic Retail Card Spending MoM | - | 1.2 | 0.5 | -0.30 | Low |
| Monday, January 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | NZ | Services NZ PSI | 51.5 | 46.9 | 48 | 49.75 | Low |
| 21:30 | NZ | Composite NZ PCI | 53.7 | 48.8 | 49.6 | 51.65 | Low |
| Friday, January 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | NZ | Business NZ PMI | - | 51.4 | 50.9 | 52.08 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:45 | NZ | Food Inflation YoY | 4 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 4.55 | Low |
| 21:30 | NZ | Business NZ PMI | 56.1 | 51.4 | 51.6 | 52.78 | Medium |
| Tuesday, January 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:45 | NZ | Building Permits | 2.8 | -0.9 | 1 | 0.35 | Low |
| Monday, January 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:00 | NZ | Capacity Utilization | 89.8 | 89.1 | 89.3 | 89.55 | Low |
| 21:00 | NZ | Business Confidence | 48 | 18 | 16 | 32.00 | Low |
| Friday, December 19, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 02:00 | NZ | Credit Card Spending YoY | 4.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 3.35 | Low |
| 00:00 | NZ | ANZ Business Confidence | 73.6 | 67.1 | 49.8 | 50.83 | Medium |
| Thursday, December 18, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:45 | NZ | Balance of Trade | -0.163 | -1.598 | -1.175 | -1.04 | Medium |
| 21:45 | NZ | Exports | 6.99 | 6.44 | 6.8 | 6.89 | Low |
| 21:45 | NZ | Imports | 7.15 | 8.03 | 7.5 | 7.59 | Low |
| 21:00 | NZ | ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence | 101.5 | 98.4 | 95 | 95.82 | Low |
| 21:00 | NZ | Westpac Consumer Confidence | - | 90.9 | 91.2 | 93.85 | Low |
| Wednesday, December 17, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:45 | NZ | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.3 | -1.1 | 1.3 | 1.30 | Medium |
| 21:45 | NZ | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.1 | -1 | 0.9 | 1.00 | Medium |
| 21:45 | NZ | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.3 | -1.1 | 1.3 | 1.30 | Low |
| 21:45 | NZ | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.1 | -1 | 0.9 | 1.00 | Medium |
| Tuesday, December 16, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:45 | NZ | Current Account | -8.37 | -1.3 | -8.1 | -8.23 | Medium |
| 21:00 | NZ | Westpac Consumer Confidence | 96.5 | 90.9 | 91.2 | 93.85 | Low |
| 14:30 | NZ | Global Dairy Trade Price Index | -4.4 | -4.3 | -2.3 | -2.68 | Low |
| 14:00 | NZ | Global Dairy Trade Price Index | -4.4 | -4.3 | -2.3 | -2.68 | Low |
| 12:00 | NZ | Global Dairy Trade Price Index | - | -4.3 | -2.3 | -2.68 | Low |
| 02:00 | NZ | Credit Card Spending YoY | - | 1.4 | 2 | 3.35 | Low |