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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Producer Price Index MoM fell to -0.87% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Mexico Producer Price Index MoM fell to -0.87% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 1.33% from May's 0.46% reading. The reading missed the -0.1% consensus by 0.77%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.27%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 0.23%, vs 0.58% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index MoM is now the lowest in 17 months.
Latest Release
-0.87
Actual
-0.1
Consensus
0.46
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.81 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Mexico) was reported at -0.87% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of -0.1% by 0.77%. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.46%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.07%, ranging from -0.87% to 0.5% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.07%, down from the prior three at 0.37%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Aug 3) and Consumer Confidence (Aug 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - MX
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Mexico
DEFINITION
Mexico's Producer Price Index MoM fell by -0.870000% in June, missing the -0.100000% estimate and reversing May's 0.460000% gain. The sharp contraction in June signals a notable cooling in producer prices month-over-month. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and central bank policy adjustments amid this unexpected decline. Updated 7/11/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -0.87 %, consensus -0.1 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 0.46 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.81) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - MX Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | -0.6 | 1.3 | 1.40 | Medium |
| 12:00 | MX | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.5 | -0.6 | 1.3 | 1.40 | Medium |
| 12:00 | MX | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.85 | Medium |
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.85 | Medium |