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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 0.06% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Mexico Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 0.06% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.09% from July's -0.03% reading. The print exceeded the -0.5% consensus by 0.56%. Producer Price Index MoM has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged -0.45%, vs 0.72% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 34th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.06
Actual
-0.5
Consensus
-0.03
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.7 percentage points
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: -0.78
Actual: 0.06
Error: -0.83
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Mexico) was reported at 0.06% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.5% by 0.56%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.03%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.12%, ranging from -0.87% to 0.5% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -0.28%, down from the prior three at 0.29%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.39%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.43%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 8, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24) and Balance of Trade (Sep 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - MX
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Mexico
DEFINITION
Mexico's Producer Price Index MoM rose 0.060000% in August, beating the -0.500000% estimate. This marks a reversal from July's -0.030000%, indicating a slight expansion in producer prices. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and central bank signals amid this shift. Updated 9/9/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 0.06 %, consensus -0.5 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): -0.03 %. Before that (Jun 2026): -0.87 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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