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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 1.37% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Mexico Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 1.37% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.31% from August's 0.06% reading. The print exceeded the 0.2% consensus by 1.17%. Producer Price Index MoM has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 0.02%, vs -0.14% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 93rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.37
Actual
0.2
Consensus
0.06
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.83 percentage points
across last 5 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 0.26
Actual: 1.37
Error: -1.11
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Mexico) was reported at 1.37% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.2% by 1.17%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.06%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.25%, ranging from -0.87% to 1.37% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.47%, up from the prior three at -0.07%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.55%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.4%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 9, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Nov 3) and Consumer Confidence (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - MX
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Mexico
DEFINITION
Mexico's Producer Price Index MoM surged to 1.370000% in September, sharply beating the 0.200000% estimate. This marks a significant acceleration from August's 0.060000%, indicating a strong expansion in producer prices. The sharp rise may influence market pricing and monetary policy considerations ahead of upcoming inflation data. Updated 10/8/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 1.37 %, consensus 0.2 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 0.06 %. Before that (Jul 2026): -0.03 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.42) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - MX Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 3.2 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.85 | Medium |
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.80 | Medium |