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Mexico Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 0.46% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.42% from April's 0.04% reading. The print exceeded the -0.1% consensus by 0.56%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.24%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 0.85%, vs 0.28% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 66th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Producer Price Index MoM (Mexico) was reported at 0.46% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.1% by 0.56%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.04%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.17%, ranging from -0.5% to 0.5% across 8 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 0.29%, down from the prior three at 0.37%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
The next release is scheduled for July 9, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 25) and Balance of Trade (Jun 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
Mexico's Producer Price Index MoM rose 0.460000% in May, beating the -0.100000% estimate. This marks a sharp increase from April's 0.040000%, signaling accelerating producer inflation. The stronger-than-expected rise may influence market expectations ahead of upcoming monetary policy decisions. Updated 6/9/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 0.46 %, consensus -0.1 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | Aggregate Demand YoY | 4.5 | 0.2 | 1.55 | Low | ||
| 12:00 | Aggregate Demand QoQ | 2.4 | -0.4 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 12:00 | Private Spending YoY | 4 | 0.7 | 1.55 | Low | ||
| 12:00 | Private Spending QoQ | 1 | -0.8 | -1.10 | Low | ||