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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico CFTC Mexico Speculative net positions fell to 5,997 in December 2024
FMPMonthlyReleased January 2025
Mexico CFTC Mexico Speculative net positions fell to 5,997 in December 2024, released January 2025, down 6,394 from November's 12,391 reading.
Latest Release
5997.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
12391.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/MXN | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish MXN | → View |
| WTI Crude | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CFTC Mexico Speculative net positions (Mexico) was reported at 5,997.00 in January 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 12,391.00.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 9,513.00, up from the prior three at 7,218.67.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/MXN (Bullish MXN). A secondary relationship exists with WTI Crude, positively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (May 25) and Business Confidence (Jun 1).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2025.
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CFTC Mexico Speculative net positions - MX
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About CFTC Mexico Speculative net positions — Mexico
DEFINITION
CFTC Mexico Speculative net positions is a financial indicator that measures the difference between the number of long and short positions held by speculators in the Mexican market. This data is collected and reported by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and provides insight into the sentiment and behavior of speculators in the Mexican market. It is a valuable tool for investors and analysts to gauge market sentiment and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2025): actual 5,997. Prior reading (Dec 2024): 14,614. Before that (Dec 2024): 7,928.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/MXN (Bullish MXN, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.