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Mexico Core CPI MoM climbed to 0.24% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.02% from May's 0.22% reading. The print came in cooler than the 0.31% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated.
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Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
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Core CPI MoM (Mexico) was reported at 0.24% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.31% by 0.07%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.22%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026.
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Jul 30) and Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Jul 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
Mexico's Core CPI MoM rose 0.24% in June, missing the 0.31% estimate. This marks a slight increase from May's 0.22%, indicating a modest acceleration in underlying inflation. The data may influence market expectations on Banco de México's monetary policy stance ahead of upcoming releases. Updated 7/11/26
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 0.24 %, consensus 0.31 %.
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| Monday, July 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | Balance of Trade | 4.09 | 2.259 | 2.28 | 4.04 | Medium | |
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.6 | 1.3 | 1.30 | Medium | ||