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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico CFTC MXN speculative net positions climbed to 17K in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Mexico CFTC MXN speculative net positions climbed to 17K in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.8K from August's 15.2K reading.
Latest Release
17.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
15.200000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
CFTC MXN speculative net positions (Mexico) was reported at 21 thousand in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 17 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 78 thousand, ranging from 11 thousand to 109 thousand across 42 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 14 thousand, down from the prior three at 72 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 22 thousand) is higher than the prior year (σ 18 thousand). In October readings over the past 3 years, CFTC MXN speculative net positions has averaged 24 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/MXN (Bearish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 6, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Nov 3) and Consumer Confidence (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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CFTC MXN speculative net positions - MX
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About CFTC MXN speculative net positions — Mexico
DEFINITION
Mexico's CFTC MXN speculative net positions rose to 20.800 K in October from 17.000 K in September, marking a continued increase in speculative interest. October's figure shows a steady recovery after a sharp drop from 75.2 K in late September to 10.7 K in early October. Market participants remain attentive to shifts in speculative flows amid evolving currency dynamics. Updated 10/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 20.8 K. Prior reading (Oct 2026): 17 K. Before that (Oct 2026): 15.2 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MX Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 3.2 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.85 | Medium |
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.80 | Medium |