Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico CFTC MXN speculative net positions climbed to 76.5K in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Mexico CFTC MXN speculative net positions climbed to 76.5K in July 2026, released August 2026, up 4K from June's 72.5K reading.
Latest Release
76.500000
Actual
—
Consensus
72.500000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/MXN | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| WTI Crude | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CFTC MXN speculative net positions (Mexico) was reported at 77 thousand in August 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 73 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 81 thousand, ranging from 55 thousand to 109 thousand across 38 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 75 thousand, up from the prior three at 63 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 14 thousand) is lower than the prior year (σ 17 thousand). In August readings over the past 3 years, CFTC MXN speculative net positions has averaged 67 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/MXN (Bullish MXN). A secondary relationship exists with WTI Crude, positively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 14, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
SHARE
CFTC MXN speculative net positions - MX
Loading chart data...
About CFTC MXN speculative net positions — Mexico
DEFINITION
Mexico's CFTC MXN speculative net positions rose to 76.500K in August, up from July's 72.500K, marking a continued increase in speculative interest. The gain from July to August reflects growing bullish sentiment in the Mexican peso market. Market participants will watch upcoming data for further directional cues. Updated 8/7/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 76.5 K. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 72.5 K. Before that (Jul 2026): 77.4 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/MXN (Bullish MXN, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - MX Events
| Tuesday, August 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | MX | Industrial Production YoY | 1.7 | -0.7 | 1.1 | 1.30 | Low |
| 12:00 | MX | Industrial Production MoM | 0.2 | -0.8 | 0.3 | 0.17 | Low |