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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico CFTC MXN speculative net positions climbed to 77.4K in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Mexico CFTC MXN speculative net positions climbed to 77.4K in June 2026, released July 2026, up 6.5K from May's 70.9K reading.
Latest Release
77.400000
Actual
—
Consensus
70.900000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/MXN | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| WTI Crude | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CFTC MXN speculative net positions (Mexico) was reported at 73 thousand in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 72 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 80 thousand, ranging from 55 thousand to 109 thousand across 38 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 71 thousand, up from the prior three at 58 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 15 thousand) is lower than the prior year (σ 17 thousand). In July readings over the past 3 years, CFTC MXN speculative net positions has averaged 59 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/MXN (Bullish MXN). A secondary relationship exists with WTI Crude, positively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Aug 3) and Consumer Confidence (Aug 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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CFTC MXN speculative net positions - MX
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About CFTC MXN speculative net positions — Mexico
DEFINITION
Mexico's CFTC MXN speculative net positions rose to 72.500 K in July, up from June's 71.700 K, marking a modest increase. The July figure reflects a slight pullback from early July's 77.4 K but remains elevated compared to May's 58.2 K. Market participants continue to show strong speculative interest in MXN amid steady positioning. Updated 7/31/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 72.5 K. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 77.4 K. Before that (Jun 2026): 71.8 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/MXN (Bullish MXN, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MX Events
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | MX | Business Confidence | 46.3 | 46.8 | 46.75 | Medium | |
| 15:00 | MX | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.3 | 51.5 | 50.70 | Low | |
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | MX | Consumer Confidence | 43.8 | 44.1 | 44.10 | Medium | |