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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.98% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Mexico Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.98% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.42% from April's 2.56% reading. The print exceeded the 2.4% consensus by 0.58%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 3.22%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 2.7%, vs 1.45% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 6 months.
Latest Release
2.98
Actual
2.4
Consensus
2.56
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Mexico) was reported at 2.98% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.4% by 0.58%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.56%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.74%, ranging from 1.1% to 4.9% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.86%, down from the prior three at 2.53%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 9, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 25) and Balance of Trade (Jun 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - MX
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Mexico
DEFINITION
Mexico's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 2.980% in May, beating the 2.400% estimate. This marks an increase from April's 2.6%, indicating accelerating producer inflation. The data may influence market expectations ahead of upcoming monetary policy decisions. Updated 6/9/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 2.98 %, consensus 2.4 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 2.6 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 2.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.54) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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