Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.99% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Mexico Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.99% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.43% from July's 2.56% reading. The print exceeded the 2.7% consensus by 0.29%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 2.33%, vs 2.79% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 9 months.
Latest Release
2.99
Actual
2.7
Consensus
2.56
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.58 percentage points
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 2.42
Actual: 2.99
Error: -0.58
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.63 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/MXN | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Mexico) was reported at 2.99% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.7% by 0.29%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.56%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.31%, ranging from 1.1% to 3.1% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.55%, up from the prior three at 1.86%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.65%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.46%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with USD/MXN, negatively correlated (Bearish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 8, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24) and Balance of Trade (Sep 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
SHARE
Producer Price Index YoY - MX
Loading chart data...
About Producer Price Index YoY — Mexico
DEFINITION
Mexico's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 2.990%, beating the 2.700% estimate for September. This marks an increase from August's 2.56%, indicating accelerating producer inflation. The stronger reading may influence market pricing and central bank considerations ahead of upcoming economic data. Updated 9/9/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 2.99 %, consensus 2.7 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 2.56 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 2.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.63) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP