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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Core CPI fell to 0.13% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Mexico Core CPI fell to 0.13% in May 2026, down 0.05% from April's 0.18% reading. The print came in cooler than the 0.17% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.18%.
Latest Release
0.13
Actual
0.17
Consensus
0.18
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Core CPI (Mexico) was reported at 0.13% in May 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.17% by 0.04%. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.18%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Jul 30) and Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Jul 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Core CPI - MX
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About Core CPI — Mexico
DEFINITION
Mexico's Core CPI for May came in at 0.13%, missing the 0.17% estimate and down from April's 0.18%. This decline signals a deceleration in underlying inflation pressures compared to the previous month. Market participants will watch upcoming data for further clues on the central bank's policy direction. Updated 5/22/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 0.13 %, consensus 0.17 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0.18 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MX Events
| Monday, July 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | MX | Balance of Trade | 4.09 | 2.259 | 2.28 | 4.04 | Medium |
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.6 | 1.3 | 1.30 | Medium | |