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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico GDP Per Capita (Current US$) fell to 13,889.23 USD in December 2025
World BankYearlyReleased December 2025
Mexico GDP Per Capita (Current US$) fell to 13,889.23 USD in December 2025, down 98.81 USD from November's 13,988.04 USD reading.
Latest Release
13889.233963
Actual
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Consensus
13988.042375
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/MXN | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| WTI Crude | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Per Capita (Current US$) (Mexico) was reported at 13,889.23 USD in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 13,988.04 USD. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 13,902.71 USD, up from the prior three at 10,187.04 USD. In December readings over the past 3 years, GDP Per Capita (Current US$) has averaged 13,902.71 USD.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/MXN (Bullish MXN). A secondary relationship exists with WTI Crude, positively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Jul 30) and Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Jul 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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GDP Per Capita (Current US$) - MX
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About GDP Per Capita (Current US$) — Mexico
DEFINITION
Mexico's GDP Per Capita (Current US$) for 2025 registered at 13889.233963, down from 13988.042375 in 2024, marking a slight contraction. This decline follows a steady rise from 13830.843849 in 2023 to 13988.042375 in 2024, indicating a recent reversal in growth momentum. Market participants will monitor upcoming economic data for further signals on Mexico's growth trajectory. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/MXN (Bullish MXN, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MX Events
| Monday, July 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | MX | Balance of Trade | 4.09 | 2.259 | 2.28 | 4.04 | Medium |
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.6 | 1.3 | 1.30 | Medium | |